New England Patriots AWAY @ Seattle Seahawks HOME
2026-09-09 ยท NBC
Pick: Seattle Seahawks
(21–24)
MEDIUM
Model spread: Seattle Seahawks −4 / New England Patriots +4
Model projected total: 45
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Drake Maye (NE)
1.36 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Sam Darnold (SEA)
1.20 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, NE)
32 yds OVER 25+ 31% UNLIKELY
TreVeyon Henderson (RB, NE)
40 yds OVER 25+ 33% UNLIKELY
Zach Charbonnet (RB, SEA)
37 yds OVER 25+ 46% LEAN
AJ Barner (TE, SEA)
25 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY
Hunter Henry (TE, NE)
34 yds OVER 25+ 26% UNLIKELY
Cooper Kupp (WR, SEA)
30 yds LEAN 10% UNLIKELY
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA)
86 yds OVER 50+ 38% LEAN
Rashid Shaheed (WR, SEA)
33 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
Romeo Doubs (WR, NE)
32 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Stefon Diggs (WR, NE)
45 yds OVER 25+ 16% UNLIKELY
San Francisco 49ers AWAY @ Los Angeles Rams HOME
2026-09-10 ยท Netflix
Pick: Los Angeles Rams
(22–30)
HIGH
Model spread: Los Angeles Rams −8 / San Francisco 49ers +8
Model projected total: 52
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Brock Purdy (SF)
1.66 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Matthew Stafford (LAR)
2.57 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Blake Corum (RB, LAR)
42 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY
Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF)
48 yds OVER 25+ 63 yds OVER 50+ 59% LIKELY
Kyren Williams (RB, LAR)
16 yds UNDER 25 70 yds OVER 50+ 52% LEAN
Colby Parkinson (TE, LAR)
26 yds LEAN 40% LEAN
George Kittle (TE, SF)
51 yds OVER 25+ 43% LEAN
Christian Kirk (WR, SF)
18 yds UNDER 25 10% UNLIKELY
Davante Adams (WR, LAR)
53 yds OVER 25+ 61% LIKELY
Mike Evans (WR, SF)
34 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY
Puka Nacua (WR, LAR)
102 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Dallas Cowboys AWAY @ New York Giants HOME
2026-09-13 ยท NBC
Pick: New York Giants
(30–30)
LOW
Model spread: New York Giants −0 / Dallas Cowboys +0
Model projected total: 60
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Dak Prescott (DAL)
1.97 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jaxson Dart (NYG)
1.40 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Cam Skattebo (RB, NYG)
46 yds OVER 25+ 48% LEAN
Javonte Williams (RB, DAL)
84 yds OVER 50+ 54% LEAN
Jaydon Blue (RB, DAL)
26 yds LEAN 28% UNLIKELY
Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB, NYG)
25 yds LEAN 64 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY
Isaiah Likely (TE, NYG)
31 yds LEAN 14% UNLIKELY
Jake Ferguson (TE, DAL)
40 yds OVER 25+ 41% LEAN
Theo Johnson (TE, NYG)
46 yds OVER 25+ 35% LEAN
CeeDee Lamb (WR, DAL)
86 yds OVER 50+ 21% UNLIKELY
Darius Slayton (WR, NYG)
50 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
George Pickens (WR, DAL)
94 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Washington Commanders AWAY @ Philadelphia Eagles HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
(16–27)
HIGH
Model spread: Philadelphia Eagles −10 / Washington Commanders +10
Model projected total: 43
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Jayden Daniels (WAS)
1.11 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Jalen Hurts (PHI)
1.80 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, WAS)
39 yds OVER 25+ 32% UNLIKELY
Jerome Ford (RB, WAS)
6 yds UNDER 25 5% UNLIKELY
Saquon Barkley (RB, PHI)
20 yds LEAN 82 yds OVER 50+ 48% LEAN
Chig Okonkwo (TE, WAS)
27 yds LEAN 12% UNLIKELY
Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI)
45 yds OVER 25+ 57% LIKELY
Zach Ertz (TE, WAS)
32 yds OVER 25+ 23% UNLIKELY
A.J. Brown (WR, PHI)
77 yds OVER 50+ 42% LEAN
Deebo Samuel (WR, WAS)
38 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
DeVonta Smith (WR, PHI)
68 yds OVER 50+ 24% UNLIKELY
Terry McLaurin (WR, WAS)
48 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
Green Bay Packers AWAY @ Minnesota Vikings HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Minnesota Vikings
(19–20)
LOW
Model spread: Minnesota Vikings −1 / Green Bay Packers +1
Model projected total: 38
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Jordan Love (GB)
1.30 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Kyler Murray (MIN)
1.28 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Aaron Jones (RB, MIN)
42 yds OVER 25+ 15% UNLIKELY
Emanuel Wilson (RB, GB)
25 yds LEAN 14% UNLIKELY
Jordan Mason (RB, MIN)
44 yds OVER 25+ 30% UNLIKELY
Josh Jacobs (RB, GB)
16 yds UNDER 25 53 yds OVER 25+ 55% LIKELY
T.J. Hockenson (TE, MIN)
27 yds LEAN 17% UNLIKELY
Tucker Kraft (TE, GB)
40 yds OVER 25+ 38% LEAN
Christian Watson (WR, GB)
52 yds OVER 25+ 40% LEAN
Jauan Jennings (WR, MIN)
38 yds OVER 25+ 41% LEAN
Jayden Reed (WR, GB)
26 yds LEAN 20% UNLIKELY
Justin Jefferson (WR, MIN)
57 yds OVER 50+ 11% UNLIKELY
Miami Dolphins AWAY @ Las Vegas Raiders HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Miami Dolphins
(22–16)
MEDIUM
Model spread: Miami Dolphins −5 / Las Vegas Raiders +5
Model projected total: 38
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Malik Willis (MIA)
1.27 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER LOW
Kirk Cousins (LV)
1.17 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Ashton Jeanty (RB, LV)
22 yds LEAN 62 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
De'Von Achane (RB, MIA)
34 yds OVER 25+ 93 yds OVER 50+ 56% LIKELY
Brock Bowers (TE, LV)
61 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
Jaylen Waddle (WR, MIA)
63 yds OVER 50+ 34% UNLIKELY
Malik Washington (WR, MIA)
21 yds LEAN 7 yds UNDER 25 23% UNLIKELY
Tre Tucker (WR, LV)
44 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
Arizona Cardinals AWAY @ Los Angeles Chargers HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Los Angeles Chargers
(17–28)
HIGH
Model spread: Los Angeles Chargers −11 / Arizona Cardinals +11
Model projected total: 45
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Jacoby Brissett (ARI)
1.43 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Justin Herbert (LAC)
2.02 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC)
62 yds OVER 50+ 25% UNLIKELY
Omarion Hampton (RB, LAC)
50 yds OVER 25+ 40% LEAN
Tyler Allgeier (RB, ARI)
25 yds LEAN 33% UNLIKELY
Zonovan Knight (RB, ARI)
20 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY
Oronde Gadsden II (TE, LAC)
55 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
Trey McBride (TE, ARI)
63 yds OVER 50+ 43% LEAN
Keenan Allen (WR, LAC)
57 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY
Ladd McConkey (WR, LAC)
62 yds OVER 50+ 38% LEAN
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR, ARI)
44 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Michael Wilson (WR, ARI)
51 yds OVER 25+ 30% UNLIKELY
New York Jets AWAY @ Tennessee Titans HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Tennessee Titans
(21–22)
LOW
Model spread: Tennessee Titans −2 / New York Jets +2
Model projected total: 43
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Geno Smith (NYJ)
1.60 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN MEDIUM
Cam Ward (TEN)
1.13 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Breece Hall (RB, NYJ)
81 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY
Isaiah Davis (RB, NYJ)
18 yds UNDER 25 7% UNLIKELY
Tony Pollard (RB, TEN)
82 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY
Tyjae Spears (RB, TEN)
26 yds LEAN 28 yds LEAN 18% UNLIKELY
Gunnar Helm (TE, TEN)
29 yds LEAN 15% UNLIKELY
Mason Taylor (TE, NYJ)
35 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
Chimere Dike (WR, TEN)
32 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
Garrett Wilson (WR, NYJ)
54 yds OVER 25+ 44% LEAN
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR, TEN)
76 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY
Atlanta Falcons AWAY @ Pittsburgh Steelers HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers
(20–25)
MEDIUM
Model spread: Pittsburgh Steelers −5 / Atlanta Falcons +5
Model projected total: 44
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Tua Tagovailoa (ATL)
1.43 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN MEDIUM
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)
1.54 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Bijan Robinson (RB, ATL)
48 yds OVER 25+ 86 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, ATL)
23 yds LEAN 15% UNLIKELY
Jaylen Warren (RB, PIT)
61 yds OVER 50+ 32% UNLIKELY
Rico Dowdle (RB, PIT)
58 yds OVER 50+ 30% UNLIKELY
Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL)
54 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Pat Freiermuth (TE, PIT)
29 yds LEAN 22% UNLIKELY
D.K. Metcalf (WR, PIT)
58 yds OVER 50+ 34% UNLIKELY
Drake London (WR, ATL)
76 yds OVER 50+ 44% LEAN
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, PIT)
45 yds OVER 25+ 34% UNLIKELY
Cleveland Browns AWAY @ Jacksonville Jaguars HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars
(13–28)
HIGH
Model spread: Jacksonville Jaguars −15 / Cleveland Browns +15
Model projected total: 41
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Deshaun Watson (CLE)
0.99 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER LOW
Trevor Lawrence (JAX)
1.66 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Bhayshul Tuten (RB, JAX)
20 yds LEAN 27% UNLIKELY
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB, JAX)
35 yds OVER 25+ 35% LEAN
Dylan Sampson (RB, CLE)
16 yds UNDER 25 10 yds UNDER 25 11% UNLIKELY
Quinshon Judkins (RB, CLE)
51 yds OVER 25+ 35% UNLIKELY
Brenton Strange (TE, JAX)
44 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
David Njoku (TE, CLE)
21 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY
Harold Fannin (TE, CLE)
39 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, JAX)
49 yds OVER 25+ 13% UNLIKELY
Jerry Jeudy (WR, CLE)
30 yds LEAN 10% UNLIKELY
Baltimore Ravens AWAY @ Indianapolis Colts HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Indianapolis Colts
(25–29)
MEDIUM
Model spread: Indianapolis Colts −4 / Baltimore Ravens +4
Model projected total: 54
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Lamar Jackson (BAL)
1.71 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Daniel Jones (IND)
1.49 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Derrick Henry (RB, BAL)
99 yds OVER 50+ 63% LIKELY
Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND)
95 yds OVER 50+ 66% LIKELY
Justice Hill (RB, BAL)
10 yds UNDER 25 19% UNLIKELY
Mark Andrews (TE, BAL)
26 yds LEAN 26% UNLIKELY
Tyler Warren (TE, IND)
49 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
Alec Pierce (WR, IND)
68 yds OVER 50+ 33% UNLIKELY
Zay Flowers (WR, BAL)
75 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY
Buffalo Bills AWAY @ Houston Texans HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Houston Texans
(20–23)
LOW
Model spread: Houston Texans −3 / Buffalo Bills +3
Model projected total: 44
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Josh Allen (BUF)
1.11 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
C.J. Stroud (HOU)
1.27 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
David Montgomery (RB, HOU)
36 yds OVER 25+ 35% UNLIKELY
James Cook (RB, BUF)
72 yds OVER 50+ 42% LEAN
Ray Davis (RB, BUF)
12 yds UNDER 25 0% UNLIKELY
Woody Marks (RB, HOU)
41 yds OVER 25+ 11% UNLIKELY
Dalton Kincaid (TE, BUF)
36 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
Dalton Schultz (TE, HOU)
43 yds OVER 25+ 16% UNLIKELY
D.J. Moore (WR, BUF)
29 yds LEAN 26% UNLIKELY
Jayden Higgins (WR, HOU)
29 yds LEAN 28% UNLIKELY
Khalil Shakir (WR, BUF)
34 yds OVER 25+ 17% UNLIKELY
Nico Collins (WR, HOU)
70 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY
New Orleans Saints AWAY @ Detroit Lions HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Detroit Lions
(18–29)
HIGH
Model spread: Detroit Lions −11 / New Orleans Saints +11
Model projected total: 47
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Tyler Shough (NO)
0.96 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Jared Goff (DET)
1.96 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Alvin Kamara (RB, NO)
45 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
Isiah Pacheco (RB, DET)
33 yds OVER 25+ 12% UNLIKELY
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET)
36 yds OVER 25+ 70 yds OVER 50+ 64% LIKELY
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB, NO)
62 yds OVER 50+ 35% UNLIKELY
Juwan Johnson (TE, NO)
55 yds OVER 25+ 17% UNLIKELY
Sam LaPorta (TE, DET)
42 yds OVER 25+ 29% UNLIKELY
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, DET)
81 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
Chris Olave (WR, NO)
77 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Jameson Williams (WR, DET)
64 yds OVER 50+ 33% UNLIKELY
Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY @ Cincinnati Bengals HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(27–27)
LOW
Model spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers −1 / Cincinnati Bengals +1
Model projected total: 54
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Baker Mayfield (TB)
1.92 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Joe Burrow (CIN)
1.92 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Bucky Irving (RB, TB)
74 yds OVER 50+ 12% UNLIKELY
Chase Brown (RB, CIN)
63 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY
Rachaad White (RB, TB)
42 yds OVER 25+ 26% UNLIKELY
Samaje Perine (RB, CIN)
27 yds LEAN 19% UNLIKELY
Cade Otton (TE, TB)
45 yds OVER 25+ 7% UNLIKELY
Andrei Iosivas (WR, CIN)
27 yds LEAN 12% UNLIKELY
Emeka Egbuka (WR, TB)
69 yds OVER 50+ 36% LEAN
Ja'Marr Chase (WR, CIN)
93 yds OVER 50+ 41% LEAN
Tee Higgins (WR, CIN)
59 yds OVER 50+ 54% LEAN
Chicago Bears AWAY @ Carolina Panthers HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Chicago Bears
(24–20)
MEDIUM
Model spread: Chicago Bears −4 / Carolina Panthers +4
Model projected total: 45
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Caleb Williams (CHI)
1.54 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Bryce Young (CAR)
1.53 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)
36 yds OVER 25+ 7% UNLIKELY
D'Andre Swift (RB, CHI)
18 yds UNDER 25 66 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Kyle Monangai (RB, CHI)
45 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Jalen Coker (WR, CAR)
38 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Luther Burden (WR, CHI)
42 yds OVER 25+ 12% UNLIKELY
Rome Odunze (WR, CHI)
54 yds OVER 25+ 39% LEAN
Tetairoa McMillan (WR, CAR)
63 yds OVER 50+ 35% LEAN
Xavier Legette (WR, CAR)
26 yds LEAN 19% UNLIKELY
Denver Broncos AWAY @ Kansas City Chiefs HOME
2026-09-14 ยท ESPN
Pick: Denver Broncos
(19–18)
LOW
Model spread: Denver Broncos −1 / Kansas City Chiefs +1
Model projected total: 37
โ compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Bo Nix (DEN)
1.23 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Patrick Mahomes (KC)
1.25 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
J.K. Dobbins (RB, DEN)
65 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY
Kareem Hunt (RB, KC)
29 yds LEAN 31% UNLIKELY
Kenneth Walker III (RB, KC)
43 yds OVER 25+ 21% UNLIKELY
RJ Harvey (RB, DEN)
18 yds UNDER 25 27 yds LEAN 44% LEAN
Evan Engram (TE, DEN)
24 yds LEAN 5% UNLIKELY
Travis Kelce (TE, KC)
40 yds OVER 25+ 21% UNLIKELY
Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN)
50 yds OVER 25+ 29% UNLIKELY
Rashee Rice (WR, KC)
41 yds OVER 25+ 33% UNLIKELY
Troy Franklin (WR, DEN)
35 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY