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NFL Parlay Builder

2026 Season ยท Week 1 Last refreshed 2026-08-17 06:05:58
16
Games this week
5
High-confidence W/L picks
32
QB TD legs available
144
Player props tracked

This week's parlay combinations

Top-margin Win/Loss picks + only HIGH-confidence QB TD and player-prop legs.

GameWin/Loss pickMarginConfidenceProj. score
CLE@JAX Jacksonville Jaguars 15 pts HIGH 13-28
ARI@LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11 pts HIGH 17-28
NO@DET Detroit Lions 11 pts HIGH 18-29
WAS@PHI Philadelphia Eagles 10 pts HIGH 16-27
SF@LAR Los Angeles Rams 8 pts HIGH 22-30
ATL@PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 5 pts MEDIUM 20-25
MIA@LV Miami Dolphins 5 pts MEDIUM 22-16
CHI@CAR Chicago Bears 4 pts MEDIUM 24-20
NE@SEA Seattle Seahawks 4 pts MEDIUM 21-24
BAL@IND Indianapolis Colts 4 pts MEDIUM 25-29
BUF@HOU Houston Texans 3 pts LOW 20-23
NYJ@TEN Tennessee Titans 2 pts LOW 21-22
GB@MIN Minnesota Vikings 1 pts LOW 19-20
DEN@KC Denver Broncos 1 pts LOW 19-18
TB@CIN Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1 pts LOW 27-27
QBTeamGameProjected TDLineCallConfidence
Matthew Stafford LAR SF@LAR 2.57 1.5 OVER HIGH
Tyler Shough NO NO@DET 0.96 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Justin Herbert LAC ARI@LAC 2.02 1.5 OVER HIGH
Dak Prescott DAL DAL@NYG 1.97 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jared Goff DET NO@DET 1.96 1.5 OVER HIGH
Baker Mayfield TB TB@CIN 1.92 1.5 OVER HIGH
Josh Allen BUF BUF@HOU 1.11 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Cam Ward TEN NYJ@TEN 1.13 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Player propTeamGameValueCallConfidence
Puka Nacua โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds LAR SF@LAR 102 yds OVER HIGH
Derrick Henry โ€” OVER 50+ rushing yds BAL BAL@IND 99 yds OVER HIGH
Jonathan Taylor โ€” OVER 50+ rushing yds IND BAL@IND 95 yds OVER HIGH
George Pickens โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds DAL DAL@NYG 94 yds OVER HIGH
Jonathan Taylor โ€” anytime TD scorer IND BAL@IND 66% LIKELY HIGH
Jahmyr Gibbs โ€” anytime TD scorer DET NO@DET 64% LIKELY HIGH
Derrick Henry โ€” anytime TD scorer BAL BAL@IND 63% LIKELY HIGH

Full slate of Win/Loss picks + a HIGH/MEDIUM mix of QB TD and player-prop legs.

GameWin/Loss pickMarginConfidenceProj. score
CLE@JAX Jacksonville Jaguars 15 pts HIGH 13-28
ARI@LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11 pts HIGH 17-28
NO@DET Detroit Lions 11 pts HIGH 18-29
WAS@PHI Philadelphia Eagles 10 pts HIGH 16-27
SF@LAR Los Angeles Rams 8 pts HIGH 22-30
ATL@PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 5 pts MEDIUM 20-25
MIA@LV Miami Dolphins 5 pts MEDIUM 22-16
CHI@CAR Chicago Bears 4 pts MEDIUM 24-20
NE@SEA Seattle Seahawks 4 pts MEDIUM 21-24
BAL@IND Indianapolis Colts 4 pts MEDIUM 25-29
BUF@HOU Houston Texans 3 pts LOW 20-23
NYJ@TEN Tennessee Titans 2 pts LOW 21-22
GB@MIN Minnesota Vikings 1 pts LOW 19-20
DEN@KC Denver Broncos 1 pts LOW 19-18
TB@CIN Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1 pts LOW 27-27
DAL@NYG New York Giants 0 pts LOW 30-30
QBTeamGameProjected TDLineCallConfidence
Matthew Stafford LAR SF@LAR 2.57 1.5 OVER HIGH
Tyler Shough NO NO@DET 0.96 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Justin Herbert LAC ARI@LAC 2.02 1.5 OVER HIGH
Dak Prescott DAL DAL@NYG 1.97 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jared Goff DET NO@DET 1.96 1.5 OVER HIGH
Baker Mayfield TB TB@CIN 1.92 1.5 OVER HIGH
Josh Allen BUF BUF@HOU 1.11 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Cam Ward TEN NYJ@TEN 1.13 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Sam Darnold SEA NE@SEA 1.20 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Player propTeamGameValueCallConfidence
Puka Nacua โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds LAR SF@LAR 102 yds OVER HIGH
Derrick Henry โ€” OVER 50+ rushing yds BAL BAL@IND 99 yds OVER HIGH
Jonathan Taylor โ€” OVER 50+ rushing yds IND BAL@IND 95 yds OVER HIGH
George Pickens โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds DAL DAL@NYG 94 yds OVER HIGH
Ja'Marr Chase โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds CIN TB@CIN 93 yds OVER HIGH
Jonathan Taylor โ€” anytime TD scorer IND BAL@IND 66% LIKELY HIGH
Jahmyr Gibbs โ€” anytime TD scorer DET NO@DET 64% LIKELY HIGH
Derrick Henry โ€” anytime TD scorer BAL BAL@IND 63% LIKELY HIGH
Davante Adams โ€” anytime TD scorer LAR SF@LAR 61% LIKELY HIGH

Full slate including closer/upset-lean games + the QB TD and player-prop legs with the biggest gap from the line.

GameWin/Loss pickMarginConfidenceProj. score
CLE@JAX Jacksonville Jaguars 15 pts HIGH 13-28
ARI@LAC Los Angeles Chargers 11 pts HIGH 17-28
NO@DET Detroit Lions 11 pts HIGH 18-29
WAS@PHI Philadelphia Eagles 10 pts HIGH 16-27
SF@LAR Los Angeles Rams 8 pts HIGH 22-30
ATL@PIT Pittsburgh Steelers 5 pts MEDIUM 20-25
MIA@LV Miami Dolphins 5 pts MEDIUM 22-16
CHI@CAR Chicago Bears 4 pts MEDIUM 24-20
NE@SEA Seattle Seahawks 4 pts MEDIUM 21-24
BAL@IND Indianapolis Colts 4 pts MEDIUM 25-29
BUF@HOU Houston Texans 3 pts LOW 20-23
NYJ@TEN Tennessee Titans 2 pts LOW 21-22
GB@MIN Minnesota Vikings 1 pts LOW 19-20
DEN@KC Denver Broncos 1 pts LOW 19-18
TB@CIN Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1 pts LOW 27-27
DAL@NYG New York Giants 0 pts LOW 30-30
QBTeamGameProjected TDLineCallConfidence
Matthew Stafford LAR SF@LAR 2.57 1.5 OVER HIGH
Tyler Shough NO NO@DET 0.96 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Justin Herbert LAC ARI@LAC 2.02 1.5 OVER HIGH
Deshaun Watson CLE CLE@JAX 0.99 1.5 UNDER LOW
Dak Prescott DAL DAL@NYG 1.97 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jared Goff DET NO@DET 1.96 1.5 OVER HIGH
Baker Mayfield TB TB@CIN 1.92 1.5 OVER HIGH
Joe Burrow CIN TB@CIN 1.92 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Josh Allen BUF BUF@HOU 1.11 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Player propTeamGameValueCallConfidence
Puka Nacua โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds LAR SF@LAR 102 yds OVER HIGH
Derrick Henry โ€” OVER 50+ rushing yds BAL BAL@IND 99 yds OVER HIGH
Jonathan Taylor โ€” OVER 50+ rushing yds IND BAL@IND 95 yds OVER HIGH
George Pickens โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds DAL DAL@NYG 94 yds OVER HIGH
Ja'Marr Chase โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds CIN TB@CIN 93 yds OVER HIGH
Jaxon Smith-Njigba โ€” OVER 50+ receiving yds SEA NE@SEA 86 yds OVER HIGH
Jonathan Taylor โ€” anytime TD scorer IND BAL@IND 66% LIKELY HIGH
Jahmyr Gibbs โ€” anytime TD scorer DET NO@DET 64% LIKELY HIGH
Derrick Henry โ€” anytime TD scorer BAL BAL@IND 63% LIKELY HIGH
Davante Adams โ€” anytime TD scorer LAR SF@LAR 61% LIKELY HIGH
Christian McCaffrey โ€” anytime TD scorer SF SF@LAR 59% LIKELY HIGH

Build your own parlay

Pick how many legs of each type you want โ€” the system pulls the strongest-ranked legs available this week (sorted by confidence, then edge vs. the line).

Browse this week

AwayHomePickSpreadProj. scoreTotalConfidence
New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks HOME Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks −4  /  New England Patriots +4 21-24 45 MEDIUM
San Francisco 49ers AWAY Los Angeles Rams HOME Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams −8  /  San Francisco 49ers +8 22-30 52 HIGH
Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants HOME New York Giants New York Giants −0  /  Dallas Cowboys +0 30-30 60 LOW
Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles HOME Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles −10  /  Washington Commanders +10 16-27 43 HIGH
Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings HOME Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings −1  /  Green Bay Packers +1 19-20 38 LOW
Miami Dolphins AWAY Las Vegas Raiders HOME Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins −5  /  Las Vegas Raiders +5 22-16 38 MEDIUM
Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers HOME Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers −11  /  Arizona Cardinals +11 17-28 45 HIGH
New York Jets AWAY Tennessee Titans HOME Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans −2  /  New York Jets +2 21-22 43 LOW
Atlanta Falcons AWAY Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers −5  /  Atlanta Falcons +5 20-25 44 MEDIUM
Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars HOME Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars −15  /  Cleveland Browns +15 13-28 41 HIGH
Baltimore Ravens AWAY Indianapolis Colts HOME Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts −4  /  Baltimore Ravens +4 25-29 54 MEDIUM
Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans HOME Houston Texans Houston Texans −3  /  Buffalo Bills +3 20-23 44 LOW
New Orleans Saints AWAY Detroit Lions HOME Detroit Lions Detroit Lions −11  /  New Orleans Saints +11 18-29 47 HIGH
Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers −1  /  Cincinnati Bengals +1 27-27 54 LOW
Chicago Bears AWAY Carolina Panthers HOME Chicago Bears Chicago Bears −4  /  Carolina Panthers +4 24-20 45 MEDIUM
Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs HOME Denver Broncos Denver Broncos −1  /  Kansas City Chiefs +1 19-18 37 LOW
QBTeamOpponentProjected TDLineCallConfidence
Drake Maye New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks 1.36 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks HOME New England Patriots 1.20 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers AWAY Los Angeles Rams 1.66 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams HOME San Francisco 49ers 2.57 1.5 OVER HIGH
Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants 1.97 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jaxson Dart New York Giants HOME Dallas Cowboys 1.40 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Jayden Daniels Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles 1.11 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles HOME Washington Commanders 1.80 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jordan Love Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings 1.30 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Kyler Murray Minnesota Vikings HOME Green Bay Packers 1.28 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Malik Willis Miami Dolphins AWAY Las Vegas Raiders 1.27 1.5 UNDER LOW
Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders HOME Miami Dolphins 1.17 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Jacoby Brissett Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers 1.43 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers HOME Arizona Cardinals 2.02 1.5 OVER HIGH
Geno Smith New York Jets AWAY Tennessee Titans 1.60 1.5 LEAN MEDIUM
Cam Ward Tennessee Titans HOME New York Jets 1.13 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Tua Tagovailoa Atlanta Falcons AWAY Pittsburgh Steelers 1.43 1.5 LEAN MEDIUM
Aaron Rodgers Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Atlanta Falcons 1.54 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Deshaun Watson Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars 0.99 1.5 UNDER LOW
Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jaguars HOME Cleveland Browns 1.66 1.5 OVER HIGH
Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens AWAY Indianapolis Colts 1.71 1.5 OVER HIGH
Daniel Jones Indianapolis Colts HOME Baltimore Ravens 1.49 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Josh Allen Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans 1.11 1.5 UNDER HIGH
C.J. Stroud Houston Texans HOME Buffalo Bills 1.27 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints AWAY Detroit Lions 0.96 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Jared Goff Detroit Lions HOME New Orleans Saints 1.96 1.5 OVER HIGH
Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY Cincinnati Bengals 1.92 1.5 OVER HIGH
Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.92 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Caleb Williams Chicago Bears AWAY Carolina Panthers 1.54 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Bryce Young Carolina Panthers HOME Chicago Bears 1.53 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Bo Nix Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs 1.23 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs HOME Denver Broncos 1.25 1.5 UNDER HIGH
PlayerPosTeamOpponentReceivingRushingAnytime TDConfidence
Rhamondre Stevenson RB New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks not a factor 32 yds OVER 25+ 31% UNLIKELY HIGH
TreVeyon Henderson RB New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks not a factor 40 yds OVER 25+ 33% UNLIKELY HIGH
Zach Charbonnet RB Seattle Seahawks HOME New England Patriots not a factor 37 yds OVER 25+ 46% LEAN HIGH
AJ Barner TE Seattle Seahawks HOME New England Patriots 25 yds LEAN not a factor 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Hunter Henry TE New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks 34 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 26% UNLIKELY HIGH
Cooper Kupp WR Seattle Seahawks HOME New England Patriots 30 yds LEAN not a factor 10% UNLIKELY HIGH
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Seattle Seahawks HOME New England Patriots 86 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 38% LEAN HIGH
Rashid Shaheed WR Seattle Seahawks HOME New England Patriots 33 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 9% UNLIKELY HIGH
Romeo Doubs WR New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks 32 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 25% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Stefon Diggs WR New England Patriots AWAY Seattle Seahawks 45 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 16% UNLIKELY HIGH
Blake Corum RB Los Angeles Rams HOME San Francisco 49ers not a factor 42 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY HIGH
Christian McCaffrey RB San Francisco 49ers AWAY Los Angeles Rams 48 yds OVER 25+ 63 yds OVER 50+ 59% LIKELY HIGH
Kyren Williams RB Los Angeles Rams HOME San Francisco 49ers 16 yds UNDER 25 70 yds OVER 50+ 52% LEAN HIGH
Colby Parkinson TE Los Angeles Rams HOME San Francisco 49ers 26 yds LEAN not a factor 40% LEAN HIGH
George Kittle TE San Francisco 49ers AWAY Los Angeles Rams 51 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 43% LEAN HIGH
Christian Kirk WR San Francisco 49ers AWAY Los Angeles Rams 18 yds UNDER 25 not a factor 10% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Davante Adams WR Los Angeles Rams HOME San Francisco 49ers 53 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 61% LIKELY HIGH
Mike Evans WR San Francisco 49ers AWAY Los Angeles Rams 34 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 28% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Puka Nacua WR Los Angeles Rams HOME San Francisco 49ers 102 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 45% LEAN HIGH
Cam Skattebo RB New York Giants HOME Dallas Cowboys not a factor 46 yds OVER 25+ 48% LEAN MEDIUM
Javonte Williams RB Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants not a factor 84 yds OVER 50+ 54% LEAN HIGH
Jaydon Blue RB Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants not a factor 26 yds LEAN 28% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB New York Giants HOME Dallas Cowboys 25 yds LEAN 64 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY HIGH
Isaiah Likely TE New York Giants HOME Dallas Cowboys 31 yds LEAN not a factor 14% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Jake Ferguson TE Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants 40 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 41% LEAN HIGH
Theo Johnson TE New York Giants HOME Dallas Cowboys 46 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 35% LEAN HIGH
CeeDee Lamb WR Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants 86 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 21% UNLIKELY HIGH
Darius Slayton WR New York Giants HOME Dallas Cowboys 50 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 9% UNLIKELY HIGH
George Pickens WR Dallas Cowboys AWAY New York Giants 94 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 45% LEAN HIGH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles not a factor 39 yds OVER 25+ 32% UNLIKELY HIGH
Jerome Ford RB Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles not a factor 6 yds UNDER 25 5% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Saquon Barkley RB Philadelphia Eagles HOME Washington Commanders 20 yds LEAN 82 yds OVER 50+ 48% LEAN HIGH
Chig Okonkwo TE Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles 27 yds LEAN not a factor 12% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Dallas Goedert TE Philadelphia Eagles HOME Washington Commanders 45 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 57% LIKELY HIGH
Zach Ertz TE Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles 32 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 23% UNLIKELY HIGH
A.J. Brown WR Philadelphia Eagles HOME Washington Commanders 77 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 42% LEAN HIGH
Deebo Samuel WR Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles 38 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 27% UNLIKELY HIGH
DeVonta Smith WR Philadelphia Eagles HOME Washington Commanders 68 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 24% UNLIKELY HIGH
Terry McLaurin WR Washington Commanders AWAY Philadelphia Eagles 48 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 22% UNLIKELY HIGH
Aaron Jones RB Minnesota Vikings HOME Green Bay Packers not a factor 42 yds OVER 25+ 15% UNLIKELY HIGH
Emanuel Wilson RB Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings not a factor 25 yds LEAN 14% UNLIKELY HIGH
Jordan Mason RB Minnesota Vikings HOME Green Bay Packers not a factor 44 yds OVER 25+ 30% UNLIKELY HIGH
Josh Jacobs RB Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings 16 yds UNDER 25 53 yds OVER 25+ 55% LIKELY HIGH
T.J. Hockenson TE Minnesota Vikings HOME Green Bay Packers 27 yds LEAN not a factor 17% UNLIKELY HIGH
Tucker Kraft TE Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings 40 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 38% LEAN MEDIUM
Christian Watson WR Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings 52 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 40% LEAN HIGH
Jauan Jennings WR Minnesota Vikings HOME Green Bay Packers 38 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 41% LEAN MEDIUM
Jayden Reed WR Green Bay Packers AWAY Minnesota Vikings 26 yds LEAN not a factor 20% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Justin Jefferson WR Minnesota Vikings HOME Green Bay Packers 57 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 11% UNLIKELY HIGH
Ashton Jeanty RB Las Vegas Raiders HOME Miami Dolphins 22 yds LEAN 62 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN HIGH
De'Von Achane RB Miami Dolphins AWAY Las Vegas Raiders 34 yds OVER 25+ 93 yds OVER 50+ 56% LIKELY HIGH
Brock Bowers TE Las Vegas Raiders HOME Miami Dolphins 61 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 47% LEAN HIGH
Jaylen Waddle WR Miami Dolphins AWAY Las Vegas Raiders 63 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 34% UNLIKELY HIGH
Malik Washington WR Miami Dolphins AWAY Las Vegas Raiders 21 yds LEAN 7 yds UNDER 25 23% UNLIKELY HIGH
Tre Tucker WR Las Vegas Raiders HOME Miami Dolphins 44 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 27% UNLIKELY HIGH
Kimani Vidal RB Los Angeles Chargers HOME Arizona Cardinals not a factor 62 yds OVER 50+ 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Omarion Hampton RB Los Angeles Chargers HOME Arizona Cardinals not a factor 50 yds OVER 25+ 40% LEAN MEDIUM
Tyler Allgeier RB Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers not a factor 25 yds LEAN 33% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Zonovan Knight RB Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers not a factor 20 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Oronde Gadsden II TE Los Angeles Chargers HOME Arizona Cardinals 55 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 22% UNLIKELY HIGH
Trey McBride TE Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers 63 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 43% LEAN HIGH
Keenan Allen WR Los Angeles Chargers HOME Arizona Cardinals 57 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 26% UNLIKELY HIGH
Ladd McConkey WR Los Angeles Chargers HOME Arizona Cardinals 62 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 38% LEAN HIGH
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers 44 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Michael Wilson WR Arizona Cardinals AWAY Los Angeles Chargers 51 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 30% UNLIKELY HIGH
Breece Hall RB New York Jets AWAY Tennessee Titans not a factor 81 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY HIGH
Isaiah Davis RB New York Jets AWAY Tennessee Titans not a factor 18 yds UNDER 25 7% UNLIKELY HIGH
Tony Pollard RB Tennessee Titans HOME New York Jets not a factor 82 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY HIGH
Tyjae Spears RB Tennessee Titans HOME New York Jets 26 yds LEAN 28 yds LEAN 18% UNLIKELY HIGH
Gunnar Helm TE Tennessee Titans HOME New York Jets 29 yds LEAN not a factor 15% UNLIKELY HIGH
Mason Taylor TE New York Jets AWAY Tennessee Titans 35 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 9% UNLIKELY HIGH
Chimere Dike WR Tennessee Titans HOME New York Jets 32 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 27% UNLIKELY HIGH
Garrett Wilson WR New York Jets AWAY Tennessee Titans 54 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 44% LEAN MEDIUM
Wan'Dale Robinson WR Tennessee Titans HOME New York Jets 76 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 29% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Bijan Robinson RB Atlanta Falcons AWAY Pittsburgh Steelers 48 yds OVER 25+ 86 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN HIGH
Brian Robinson Jr. RB Atlanta Falcons AWAY Pittsburgh Steelers not a factor 23 yds LEAN 15% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Jaylen Warren RB Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Atlanta Falcons not a factor 61 yds OVER 50+ 32% UNLIKELY HIGH
Rico Dowdle RB Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Atlanta Falcons not a factor 58 yds OVER 50+ 30% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Kyle Pitts TE Atlanta Falcons AWAY Pittsburgh Steelers 54 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Pat Freiermuth TE Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Atlanta Falcons 29 yds LEAN not a factor 22% UNLIKELY HIGH
D.K. Metcalf WR Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Atlanta Falcons 58 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 34% UNLIKELY HIGH
Drake London WR Atlanta Falcons AWAY Pittsburgh Steelers 76 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 44% LEAN HIGH
Michael Pittman Jr. WR Pittsburgh Steelers HOME Atlanta Falcons 45 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 34% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Bhayshul Tuten RB Jacksonville Jaguars HOME Cleveland Browns not a factor 20 yds LEAN 27% UNLIKELY HIGH
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB Jacksonville Jaguars HOME Cleveland Browns not a factor 35 yds OVER 25+ 35% LEAN MEDIUM
Dylan Sampson RB Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars 16 yds UNDER 25 10 yds UNDER 25 11% UNLIKELY HIGH
Quinshon Judkins RB Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars not a factor 51 yds OVER 25+ 35% UNLIKELY HIGH
Brenton Strange TE Jacksonville Jaguars HOME Cleveland Browns 44 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 22% UNLIKELY HIGH
David Njoku TE Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars 21 yds LEAN not a factor 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Harold Fannin TE Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars 39 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 28% UNLIKELY HIGH
Brian Thomas Jr. WR Jacksonville Jaguars HOME Cleveland Browns 49 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 13% UNLIKELY HIGH
Jerry Jeudy WR Cleveland Browns AWAY Jacksonville Jaguars 30 yds LEAN not a factor 10% UNLIKELY HIGH
Derrick Henry RB Baltimore Ravens AWAY Indianapolis Colts not a factor 99 yds OVER 50+ 63% LIKELY HIGH
Jonathan Taylor RB Indianapolis Colts HOME Baltimore Ravens not a factor 95 yds OVER 50+ 66% LIKELY HIGH
Justice Hill RB Baltimore Ravens AWAY Indianapolis Colts not a factor 10 yds UNDER 25 19% UNLIKELY HIGH
Mark Andrews TE Baltimore Ravens AWAY Indianapolis Colts 26 yds LEAN not a factor 26% UNLIKELY HIGH
Tyler Warren TE Indianapolis Colts HOME Baltimore Ravens 49 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 22% UNLIKELY HIGH
Alec Pierce WR Indianapolis Colts HOME Baltimore Ravens 68 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 33% UNLIKELY HIGH
Zay Flowers WR Baltimore Ravens AWAY Indianapolis Colts 75 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 26% UNLIKELY HIGH
David Montgomery RB Houston Texans HOME Buffalo Bills not a factor 36 yds OVER 25+ 35% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
James Cook RB Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans not a factor 72 yds OVER 50+ 42% LEAN HIGH
Ray Davis RB Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans not a factor 12 yds UNDER 25 0% UNLIKELY HIGH
Woody Marks RB Houston Texans HOME Buffalo Bills not a factor 41 yds OVER 25+ 11% UNLIKELY HIGH
Dalton Kincaid TE Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans 36 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 27% UNLIKELY HIGH
Dalton Schultz TE Houston Texans HOME Buffalo Bills 43 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 16% UNLIKELY HIGH
D.J. Moore WR Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans 29 yds LEAN not a factor 26% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Jayden Higgins WR Houston Texans HOME Buffalo Bills 29 yds LEAN not a factor 28% UNLIKELY HIGH
Khalil Shakir WR Buffalo Bills AWAY Houston Texans 34 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 17% UNLIKELY HIGH
Nico Collins WR Houston Texans HOME Buffalo Bills 70 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 31% UNLIKELY HIGH
Alvin Kamara RB New Orleans Saints AWAY Detroit Lions not a factor 45 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY HIGH
Isiah Pacheco RB Detroit Lions HOME New Orleans Saints not a factor 33 yds OVER 25+ 12% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Jahmyr Gibbs RB Detroit Lions HOME New Orleans Saints 36 yds OVER 25+ 70 yds OVER 50+ 64% LIKELY HIGH
Travis Etienne Jr. RB New Orleans Saints AWAY Detroit Lions not a factor 62 yds OVER 50+ 35% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Juwan Johnson TE New Orleans Saints AWAY Detroit Lions 55 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 17% UNLIKELY HIGH
Sam LaPorta TE Detroit Lions HOME New Orleans Saints 42 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 29% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR Detroit Lions HOME New Orleans Saints 81 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 47% LEAN HIGH
Chris Olave WR New Orleans Saints AWAY Detroit Lions 77 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 45% LEAN HIGH
Jameson Williams WR Detroit Lions HOME New Orleans Saints 64 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 33% UNLIKELY HIGH
Bucky Irving RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY Cincinnati Bengals not a factor 74 yds OVER 50+ 12% UNLIKELY HIGH
Chase Brown RB Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers not a factor 63 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY HIGH
Rachaad White RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY Cincinnati Bengals not a factor 42 yds OVER 25+ 26% UNLIKELY HIGH
Samaje Perine RB Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers not a factor 27 yds LEAN 19% UNLIKELY HIGH
Cade Otton TE Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY Cincinnati Bengals 45 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 7% UNLIKELY HIGH
Andrei Iosivas WR Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 yds LEAN not a factor 12% UNLIKELY HIGH
Emeka Egbuka WR Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY Cincinnati Bengals 69 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 36% LEAN HIGH
Ja'Marr Chase WR Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers 93 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 41% LEAN HIGH
Tee Higgins WR Cincinnati Bengals HOME Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 54% LEAN HIGH
Chuba Hubbard RB Carolina Panthers HOME Chicago Bears not a factor 36 yds OVER 25+ 7% UNLIKELY HIGH
D'Andre Swift RB Chicago Bears AWAY Carolina Panthers 18 yds UNDER 25 66 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN HIGH
Kyle Monangai RB Chicago Bears AWAY Carolina Panthers not a factor 45 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Jalen Coker WR Carolina Panthers HOME Chicago Bears 38 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
Luther Burden WR Chicago Bears AWAY Carolina Panthers 42 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 12% UNLIKELY HIGH
Rome Odunze WR Chicago Bears AWAY Carolina Panthers 54 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 39% LEAN HIGH
Tetairoa McMillan WR Carolina Panthers HOME Chicago Bears 63 yds OVER 50+ not a factor 35% LEAN HIGH
Xavier Legette WR Carolina Panthers HOME Chicago Bears 26 yds LEAN not a factor 19% UNLIKELY HIGH
J.K. Dobbins RB Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs not a factor 65 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY HIGH
Kareem Hunt RB Kansas City Chiefs HOME Denver Broncos not a factor 29 yds LEAN 31% UNLIKELY HIGH
Kenneth Walker III RB Kansas City Chiefs HOME Denver Broncos not a factor 43 yds OVER 25+ 21% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
RJ Harvey RB Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs 18 yds UNDER 25 27 yds LEAN 44% LEAN HIGH
Evan Engram TE Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs 24 yds LEAN not a factor 5% UNLIKELY HIGH
Travis Kelce TE Kansas City Chiefs HOME Denver Broncos 40 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 21% UNLIKELY HIGH
Courtland Sutton WR Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs 50 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 29% UNLIKELY HIGH
Rashee Rice WR Kansas City Chiefs HOME Denver Broncos 41 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 33% UNLIKELY MEDIUM
Troy Franklin WR Denver Broncos AWAY Kansas City Chiefs 35 yds OVER 25+ not a factor 25% UNLIKELY HIGH
New England Patriots AWAY @ Seattle Seahawks HOME
2026-09-09 ยท NBC
Pick: Seattle Seahawks (21–24) MEDIUM
Model spread: Seattle Seahawks −4  /  New England Patriots +4
Model projected total: 45 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Drake Maye (NE) 1.36 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Sam Darnold (SEA) 1.20 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, NE) 32 yds OVER 25+ 31% UNLIKELY
TreVeyon Henderson (RB, NE) 40 yds OVER 25+ 33% UNLIKELY
Zach Charbonnet (RB, SEA) 37 yds OVER 25+ 46% LEAN
AJ Barner (TE, SEA) 25 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY
Hunter Henry (TE, NE) 34 yds OVER 25+ 26% UNLIKELY
Cooper Kupp (WR, SEA) 30 yds LEAN 10% UNLIKELY
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA) 86 yds OVER 50+ 38% LEAN
Rashid Shaheed (WR, SEA) 33 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
Romeo Doubs (WR, NE) 32 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Stefon Diggs (WR, NE) 45 yds OVER 25+ 16% UNLIKELY
San Francisco 49ers AWAY @ Los Angeles Rams HOME
2026-09-10 ยท Netflix
Pick: Los Angeles Rams (22–30) HIGH
Model spread: Los Angeles Rams −8  /  San Francisco 49ers +8
Model projected total: 52 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Brock Purdy (SF) 1.66 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Matthew Stafford (LAR) 2.57 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Blake Corum (RB, LAR) 42 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY
Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF) 48 yds OVER 25+ 63 yds OVER 50+ 59% LIKELY
Kyren Williams (RB, LAR) 16 yds UNDER 25 70 yds OVER 50+ 52% LEAN
Colby Parkinson (TE, LAR) 26 yds LEAN 40% LEAN
George Kittle (TE, SF) 51 yds OVER 25+ 43% LEAN
Christian Kirk (WR, SF) 18 yds UNDER 25 10% UNLIKELY
Davante Adams (WR, LAR) 53 yds OVER 25+ 61% LIKELY
Mike Evans (WR, SF) 34 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY
Puka Nacua (WR, LAR) 102 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Dallas Cowboys AWAY @ New York Giants HOME
2026-09-13 ยท NBC
Pick: New York Giants (30–30) LOW
Model spread: New York Giants −0  /  Dallas Cowboys +0
Model projected total: 60 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Dak Prescott (DAL) 1.97 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jaxson Dart (NYG) 1.40 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Cam Skattebo (RB, NYG) 46 yds OVER 25+ 48% LEAN
Javonte Williams (RB, DAL) 84 yds OVER 50+ 54% LEAN
Jaydon Blue (RB, DAL) 26 yds LEAN 28% UNLIKELY
Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB, NYG) 25 yds LEAN 64 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY
Isaiah Likely (TE, NYG) 31 yds LEAN 14% UNLIKELY
Jake Ferguson (TE, DAL) 40 yds OVER 25+ 41% LEAN
Theo Johnson (TE, NYG) 46 yds OVER 25+ 35% LEAN
CeeDee Lamb (WR, DAL) 86 yds OVER 50+ 21% UNLIKELY
Darius Slayton (WR, NYG) 50 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
George Pickens (WR, DAL) 94 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Washington Commanders AWAY @ Philadelphia Eagles HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (16–27) HIGH
Model spread: Philadelphia Eagles −10  /  Washington Commanders +10
Model projected total: 43 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Jayden Daniels (WAS) 1.11 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 1.80 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, WAS) 39 yds OVER 25+ 32% UNLIKELY
Jerome Ford (RB, WAS) 6 yds UNDER 25 5% UNLIKELY
Saquon Barkley (RB, PHI) 20 yds LEAN 82 yds OVER 50+ 48% LEAN
Chig Okonkwo (TE, WAS) 27 yds LEAN 12% UNLIKELY
Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI) 45 yds OVER 25+ 57% LIKELY
Zach Ertz (TE, WAS) 32 yds OVER 25+ 23% UNLIKELY
A.J. Brown (WR, PHI) 77 yds OVER 50+ 42% LEAN
Deebo Samuel (WR, WAS) 38 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
DeVonta Smith (WR, PHI) 68 yds OVER 50+ 24% UNLIKELY
Terry McLaurin (WR, WAS) 48 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
Green Bay Packers AWAY @ Minnesota Vikings HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (19–20) LOW
Model spread: Minnesota Vikings −1  /  Green Bay Packers +1
Model projected total: 38 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Jordan Love (GB) 1.30 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Kyler Murray (MIN) 1.28 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Aaron Jones (RB, MIN) 42 yds OVER 25+ 15% UNLIKELY
Emanuel Wilson (RB, GB) 25 yds LEAN 14% UNLIKELY
Jordan Mason (RB, MIN) 44 yds OVER 25+ 30% UNLIKELY
Josh Jacobs (RB, GB) 16 yds UNDER 25 53 yds OVER 25+ 55% LIKELY
T.J. Hockenson (TE, MIN) 27 yds LEAN 17% UNLIKELY
Tucker Kraft (TE, GB) 40 yds OVER 25+ 38% LEAN
Christian Watson (WR, GB) 52 yds OVER 25+ 40% LEAN
Jauan Jennings (WR, MIN) 38 yds OVER 25+ 41% LEAN
Jayden Reed (WR, GB) 26 yds LEAN 20% UNLIKELY
Justin Jefferson (WR, MIN) 57 yds OVER 50+ 11% UNLIKELY
Miami Dolphins AWAY @ Las Vegas Raiders HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Miami Dolphins (22–16) MEDIUM
Model spread: Miami Dolphins −5  /  Las Vegas Raiders +5
Model projected total: 38 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Malik Willis (MIA) 1.27 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER LOW
Kirk Cousins (LV) 1.17 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER MEDIUM
Ashton Jeanty (RB, LV) 22 yds LEAN 62 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
De'Von Achane (RB, MIA) 34 yds OVER 25+ 93 yds OVER 50+ 56% LIKELY
Brock Bowers (TE, LV) 61 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
Jaylen Waddle (WR, MIA) 63 yds OVER 50+ 34% UNLIKELY
Malik Washington (WR, MIA) 21 yds LEAN 7 yds UNDER 25 23% UNLIKELY
Tre Tucker (WR, LV) 44 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
Arizona Cardinals AWAY @ Los Angeles Chargers HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Los Angeles Chargers (17–28) HIGH
Model spread: Los Angeles Chargers −11  /  Arizona Cardinals +11
Model projected total: 45 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Jacoby Brissett (ARI) 1.43 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Justin Herbert (LAC) 2.02 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC) 62 yds OVER 50+ 25% UNLIKELY
Omarion Hampton (RB, LAC) 50 yds OVER 25+ 40% LEAN
Tyler Allgeier (RB, ARI) 25 yds LEAN 33% UNLIKELY
Zonovan Knight (RB, ARI) 20 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY
Oronde Gadsden II (TE, LAC) 55 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
Trey McBride (TE, ARI) 63 yds OVER 50+ 43% LEAN
Keenan Allen (WR, LAC) 57 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY
Ladd McConkey (WR, LAC) 62 yds OVER 50+ 38% LEAN
Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR, ARI) 44 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Michael Wilson (WR, ARI) 51 yds OVER 25+ 30% UNLIKELY
New York Jets AWAY @ Tennessee Titans HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Tennessee Titans (21–22) LOW
Model spread: Tennessee Titans −2  /  New York Jets +2
Model projected total: 43 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Geno Smith (NYJ) 1.60 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN MEDIUM
Cam Ward (TEN) 1.13 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Breece Hall (RB, NYJ) 81 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY
Isaiah Davis (RB, NYJ) 18 yds UNDER 25 7% UNLIKELY
Tony Pollard (RB, TEN) 82 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY
Tyjae Spears (RB, TEN) 26 yds LEAN 28 yds LEAN 18% UNLIKELY
Gunnar Helm (TE, TEN) 29 yds LEAN 15% UNLIKELY
Mason Taylor (TE, NYJ) 35 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
Chimere Dike (WR, TEN) 32 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
Garrett Wilson (WR, NYJ) 54 yds OVER 25+ 44% LEAN
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR, TEN) 76 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY
Atlanta Falcons AWAY @ Pittsburgh Steelers HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (20–25) MEDIUM
Model spread: Pittsburgh Steelers −5  /  Atlanta Falcons +5
Model projected total: 44 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Tua Tagovailoa (ATL) 1.43 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN MEDIUM
Aaron Rodgers (PIT) 1.54 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Bijan Robinson (RB, ATL) 48 yds OVER 25+ 86 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, ATL) 23 yds LEAN 15% UNLIKELY
Jaylen Warren (RB, PIT) 61 yds OVER 50+ 32% UNLIKELY
Rico Dowdle (RB, PIT) 58 yds OVER 50+ 30% UNLIKELY
Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL) 54 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Pat Freiermuth (TE, PIT) 29 yds LEAN 22% UNLIKELY
D.K. Metcalf (WR, PIT) 58 yds OVER 50+ 34% UNLIKELY
Drake London (WR, ATL) 76 yds OVER 50+ 44% LEAN
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, PIT) 45 yds OVER 25+ 34% UNLIKELY
Cleveland Browns AWAY @ Jacksonville Jaguars HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (13–28) HIGH
Model spread: Jacksonville Jaguars −15  /  Cleveland Browns +15
Model projected total: 41 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Deshaun Watson (CLE) 0.99 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER LOW
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 1.66 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Bhayshul Tuten (RB, JAX) 20 yds LEAN 27% UNLIKELY
Chris Rodriguez Jr. (RB, JAX) 35 yds OVER 25+ 35% LEAN
Dylan Sampson (RB, CLE) 16 yds UNDER 25 10 yds UNDER 25 11% UNLIKELY
Quinshon Judkins (RB, CLE) 51 yds OVER 25+ 35% UNLIKELY
Brenton Strange (TE, JAX) 44 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
David Njoku (TE, CLE) 21 yds LEAN 25% UNLIKELY
Harold Fannin (TE, CLE) 39 yds OVER 25+ 28% UNLIKELY
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, JAX) 49 yds OVER 25+ 13% UNLIKELY
Jerry Jeudy (WR, CLE) 30 yds LEAN 10% UNLIKELY
Baltimore Ravens AWAY @ Indianapolis Colts HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Indianapolis Colts (25–29) MEDIUM
Model spread: Indianapolis Colts −4  /  Baltimore Ravens +4
Model projected total: 54 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Lamar Jackson (BAL) 1.71 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Daniel Jones (IND) 1.49 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Derrick Henry (RB, BAL) 99 yds OVER 50+ 63% LIKELY
Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND) 95 yds OVER 50+ 66% LIKELY
Justice Hill (RB, BAL) 10 yds UNDER 25 19% UNLIKELY
Mark Andrews (TE, BAL) 26 yds LEAN 26% UNLIKELY
Tyler Warren (TE, IND) 49 yds OVER 25+ 22% UNLIKELY
Alec Pierce (WR, IND) 68 yds OVER 50+ 33% UNLIKELY
Zay Flowers (WR, BAL) 75 yds OVER 50+ 26% UNLIKELY
Buffalo Bills AWAY @ Houston Texans HOME
2026-09-13 ยท CBS
Pick: Houston Texans (20–23) LOW
Model spread: Houston Texans −3  /  Buffalo Bills +3
Model projected total: 44 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Josh Allen (BUF) 1.11 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
C.J. Stroud (HOU) 1.27 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
David Montgomery (RB, HOU) 36 yds OVER 25+ 35% UNLIKELY
James Cook (RB, BUF) 72 yds OVER 50+ 42% LEAN
Ray Davis (RB, BUF) 12 yds UNDER 25 0% UNLIKELY
Woody Marks (RB, HOU) 41 yds OVER 25+ 11% UNLIKELY
Dalton Kincaid (TE, BUF) 36 yds OVER 25+ 27% UNLIKELY
Dalton Schultz (TE, HOU) 43 yds OVER 25+ 16% UNLIKELY
D.J. Moore (WR, BUF) 29 yds LEAN 26% UNLIKELY
Jayden Higgins (WR, HOU) 29 yds LEAN 28% UNLIKELY
Khalil Shakir (WR, BUF) 34 yds OVER 25+ 17% UNLIKELY
Nico Collins (WR, HOU) 70 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY
New Orleans Saints AWAY @ Detroit Lions HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Detroit Lions (18–29) HIGH
Model spread: Detroit Lions −11  /  New Orleans Saints +11
Model projected total: 47 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Tyler Shough (NO) 0.96 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Jared Goff (DET) 1.96 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Alvin Kamara (RB, NO) 45 yds OVER 25+ 9% UNLIKELY
Isiah Pacheco (RB, DET) 33 yds OVER 25+ 12% UNLIKELY
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET) 36 yds OVER 25+ 70 yds OVER 50+ 64% LIKELY
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB, NO) 62 yds OVER 50+ 35% UNLIKELY
Juwan Johnson (TE, NO) 55 yds OVER 25+ 17% UNLIKELY
Sam LaPorta (TE, DET) 42 yds OVER 25+ 29% UNLIKELY
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, DET) 81 yds OVER 50+ 47% LEAN
Chris Olave (WR, NO) 77 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Jameson Williams (WR, DET) 64 yds OVER 50+ 33% UNLIKELY
Tampa Bay Buccaneers AWAY @ Cincinnati Bengals HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (27–27) LOW
Model spread: Tampa Bay Buccaneers −1  /  Cincinnati Bengals +1
Model projected total: 54 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Baker Mayfield (TB) 1.92 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER HIGH
Joe Burrow (CIN) 1.92 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 OVER MEDIUM
Bucky Irving (RB, TB) 74 yds OVER 50+ 12% UNLIKELY
Chase Brown (RB, CIN) 63 yds OVER 50+ 31% UNLIKELY
Rachaad White (RB, TB) 42 yds OVER 25+ 26% UNLIKELY
Samaje Perine (RB, CIN) 27 yds LEAN 19% UNLIKELY
Cade Otton (TE, TB) 45 yds OVER 25+ 7% UNLIKELY
Andrei Iosivas (WR, CIN) 27 yds LEAN 12% UNLIKELY
Emeka Egbuka (WR, TB) 69 yds OVER 50+ 36% LEAN
Ja'Marr Chase (WR, CIN) 93 yds OVER 50+ 41% LEAN
Tee Higgins (WR, CIN) 59 yds OVER 50+ 54% LEAN
Chicago Bears AWAY @ Carolina Panthers HOME
2026-09-13 ยท FOX
Pick: Chicago Bears (24–20) MEDIUM
Model spread: Chicago Bears −4  /  Carolina Panthers +4
Model projected total: 45 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Caleb Williams (CHI) 1.54 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Bryce Young (CAR) 1.53 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 LEAN HIGH
Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR) 36 yds OVER 25+ 7% UNLIKELY
D'Andre Swift (RB, CHI) 18 yds UNDER 25 66 yds OVER 50+ 45% LEAN
Kyle Monangai (RB, CHI) 45 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Jalen Coker (WR, CAR) 38 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY
Luther Burden (WR, CHI) 42 yds OVER 25+ 12% UNLIKELY
Rome Odunze (WR, CHI) 54 yds OVER 25+ 39% LEAN
Tetairoa McMillan (WR, CAR) 63 yds OVER 50+ 35% LEAN
Xavier Legette (WR, CAR) 26 yds LEAN 19% UNLIKELY
Denver Broncos AWAY @ Kansas City Chiefs HOME
2026-09-14 ยท ESPN
Pick: Denver Broncos (19–18) LOW
Model spread: Denver Broncos −1  /  Kansas City Chiefs +1
Model projected total: 37 โ€” compare against FanDuel's live total (±3.0 pt buffer before leaning either way)
Bo Nix (DEN) 1.23 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 1.25 proj. TD ยท line 1.5 UNDER HIGH
J.K. Dobbins (RB, DEN) 65 yds OVER 50+ 29% UNLIKELY
Kareem Hunt (RB, KC) 29 yds LEAN 31% UNLIKELY
Kenneth Walker III (RB, KC) 43 yds OVER 25+ 21% UNLIKELY
RJ Harvey (RB, DEN) 18 yds UNDER 25 27 yds LEAN 44% LEAN
Evan Engram (TE, DEN) 24 yds LEAN 5% UNLIKELY
Travis Kelce (TE, KC) 40 yds OVER 25+ 21% UNLIKELY
Courtland Sutton (WR, DEN) 50 yds OVER 25+ 29% UNLIKELY
Rashee Rice (WR, KC) 41 yds OVER 25+ 33% UNLIKELY
Troy Franklin (WR, DEN) 35 yds OVER 25+ 25% UNLIKELY